In Eastleigh it takes a Hedge End Town Councillor to beat UKIP. At last week's County Council elections, UKIP surprised their opponents by snatching three Eastleigh divisions from the Lib Dems. Only where the Lib Dem candidate was also a Hedge End Councillor did the Lib Dems hold on with much reduced majorities.
In Hamble Cllr Keith House saw his 1,300 majority in 2009 reduced to just 540.
In Grange Park and West End Cllr Bruce Tennant's margin fell from nearly 1,000 to less than 300.
Hedge End and Botley returned Cllr Rupert Kyrle by a mere 150 (down from 600 in 2009).
In all three of the divisions held by Lib Dems, UKIP are now the closest challengers. Apart from in Chandlers Ford the Conservatives were third in Eastleigh, in some cases a distant third.
The Tories tried to ridicule the UKIP candidates, the Lib Dems tried to ignore them. Neither tactic worked in Eastleigh.
Outside Eastleigh the Conservatives did enough to retain control of the council, but the Lib Dem group was reduced by a third from 25 to 17. UKIP have ten councillors, Labour four and there are
two independents. The Greens' share of the vote would have been enough to give them one or two councillors under a purely proportional system.
So it's no real change in Hedge End: same party in control and same two opposition councillors representing us. But the Lib Dems in Eastleigh are clearly vulnerable now. They are no longer safe in what was one of their safest councils.
You can see the full results for Hampshire
here, and the Eastleigh News report
here.
As an interesting footnote, there are now
20 independent or other non-party councillors on the
Isle of Wight, and the outgoing leader of the council was ousted by his independent challenger.