Labour set to beat Lib Dems – expert prediction

When the next general election comes around, Hedge End will be in a new constituency called Hamble Valley.

Expert political forecasters Electoral Calculus looked at recent results in the areas which will make up Hamble Valley.

They initially predicted the Lib Dems would come a poor and distant third, giving them a 1 in 100 chance of winning the new seat. Labour came out as 16 times more likely to win.

They have subsequently updated their figures but still show Labour comfortably beating the Lib Dems into third place.

You can see all the working out on the Electoral Calculus website together with a map of the new constituency: New Seat Details - Hamble Valley (electoralcalculus.co.uk)

Labour candidates are overturning huge majorities in by elections as more and more disgraced and discredited Conservative MPs resign their seats. Who would predict the same thing couldn’t happen here?

Hedge End Labour are pleased and proud that an independent team of experts make us favourites to kick out the Tories here.

In Hamble Valley Hedge End a Lib Dem vote is now a wasted vote.

Labour still best placed to overtake Tories in Hamble Valley